While four teams vie to advance to the WNBA Finals, four other teams will be crossing their fingers in hopes of landing a championship building block of their own.
The 2019 WNBA Draft Lottery will air on ESPN2 during halftime of Tuesday’s Game 2 of the Semifinals between Washington and Atlanta. The game tips off at 7 p.m. CST.
Tuesday’s drawing features the four teams that did not qualify for the postseason. The odds are based on the cumulative records of the lottery teams over the past two regular seasons.
— WNBA (@WNBA) August 28, 2018
In the drawing, 14 balls numbered 1-14 will be placed in a lottery machine and mixed. Four balls will be drawn to determine a four-digit combination. The team assigned that four-ball combination will receive the No. 1 pick. The four balls will then be placed back into the machine and the process will be repeated to determine the second pick.
The two teams whose numerical combinations do not come up in the Lottery will select in the inverse order of their two-year cumulative record.The order of selection for the remainder of the first round as well as the second and third rounds is determined by inverse order of the teams’ respective regular-season records solely from 2018.
Lottery odds are based on the cumulative records of the two most recent regular seasons (2017 and 2018). With a cumulative record of 15-53, the Fever will have the most chances to land the top pick (442 out of 1,000) and is guaranteed at least the third pick.
Las Vegas posted a combined record of 22-46 and will have 276 chances out of 1,000 to win the top pick. Chicago, which registered a two-year record of 25-43, has the third-most chances (178). New York has 104 chances by virtue of its 29-39 record over the past two regular seasons.
|2019 WNBA Draft Lottery Odds|
|Team||Two-Year Record||Chance of No. 1 Pick|
|Las Vegas Aces||22-46||27.6%|
|New York Liberty||29-39||10.4%|
The Top Prospects
This year’s crop of talented seniors includes UConn’s Napheesa Collier (pictured above) and Katie Lou Samuelson, Louisville’s Asia Durr, Baylor’s Kalani Brown and Iowa’s Megan Gustafson.
A’ja Wilson is just the latest in a long line of No. 1 overall picks who change the fortunes of a franchise. In fact, assuming she wins the 2018 award, 12 of the 22 players selected No. 1 will have earned Rookie of the Year honors. Only three players picked outside of the top four have ever won the award.
More No. 1 pick facts:
- No. 1 picks have captured 12 of the 22 MVP awards (including Breanna Stewart this year)
- Nine of the 22 have won a title with the team that drafted them.
- Over the last 11 seasons, the team with the No. 1 overall pick has improved its record by an average of 6.2 wins.
|Team Win Totals Before & After No. 1 Pick|
|Year||Team||No. 1 Pick||Previous Year’s Record||Next Year’s Record||Change in Win Total||Postseason|
|2008||Los Angeles Sparks||Candace Parker||10-24||20-14||+10||Conference Finals|
|2009||Atlanta Dream||Angel McCoughtry||4-30||18-16||+14||Conference Semifinals|
|2010||Connecticut Sun||Tina Charles||16-18||17-17||+1||Did not qualify|
|2011||Minnesota Lynx||Maya Moore||13-21||27-7||+8||Won Finals|
|2012||Los Angeles Sparks||Nneka Ogwumike||15-19||24-10||+9||Conference Finals|
|2013||Phoenix Mercury||Brittney Griner||7-27||19-15||+12||Conference Finals|
|2014||Connecticut Sun||Chiney Ogwumike||10-24||13-21||+3||Did not qualify|
|2015||Seattle Storm||Jewell Loyd||12-22||10-24||-2||Did not qualify|
|2016||Seattle Storm||Breanna Stewart||10-24||16-18||+6||First Round|
|2017||Las Vegas Aces||Kelsey Plum||7-27||8-26||+1||Did not qualify|
|2018||Las Vegas Aces||A’ja Wilson||8-26||14-20||+6||Did not qualify|
The Rest of the First Round
|7.||Los Angeles Sparks||19-15|